Archive for February, 2020

Most brokers say their market is “undervalued” says RE/MAX

Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

Low inventory major factor in buyers not buying

Steve Randall
Canadian Real Estate Wealth

More than 6 in 10 real estate brokers say they are seeing buyers priced out of their markets despite better housing affordability.

A Leger survey for RE/MAX reveals that the reason many would-be first-time buyers are struggling to get on the property ladder is not always about home prices.

In fact, just 38% of consumers responding to the survey cited high house prices as one of their biggest barriers to ownership. Other factors included insufficient salary making it hard to save for a down payment (26%) and fear of rising interest rates (17%).

More than half of brokers said that low inventory was a more common reason for buyers not making a move with 72% saying that their local housing market is actually undervalued.

“Despite the many challenges that continue to plague Canadians when it comes to the prospect of home ownership, such as record debt loads, there is promising opportunity across the country to enter the market,” says Christopher Alexander, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX of Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “That said, the national housing market still has challenges to overcome, especially in centres like Toronto where demand is far outstripping supply, pushing prices up considerably as a result. We need to continue to push for an increase in housing supply for buyers and renters, but we have yet to see a comprehensive national housing strategy to help facilitate this shift.”

The full report is available at https://rem.ax/2tJBwE2

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

Metro Vancouver’s office vacancy rate to tighten further to record lows

Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

Market is at a “critical juncture” with demand from global technology firms

Joannah Connolly
Western Investor

The Deloitte Summit building at 400 West Georgia Street, by developer Westbank, is 84 per cent preleased as of end 2019, said Avison Young. | Image courtesy Westbank

Metro Vancouver’s already scorching-hot office market is likely to see even further tightening of vacancy rates to new record lows over the next year, according to a February 11 report by Avison Young.

Downtown office vacancy was historically low in 2019, falling to 2.6 per cent at year-end 2019 from 2.9 per cent a year earlier, reported the commercial real estate brokerage. This is likely to fall even further in 2020 to a new record low, according to the report, which will result in “upward pressure” on already high office rents.

Across the Metro Vancouver region, which has a total of 51.8 million square feet of office space, the overall vacancy rate at year-end 2019 fell to 4.4 per cent from 5.1 per cent a year earlier and 8 per cent two years previously. In mid-year 2019, it reached a record low of 4.3 per cent, but Avison Young predicted the rate would “drop significantly lower in 2020.”

Excluding Vancouver proper, suburban office vacancy slipped to 6.2 per cent at year-end 2019 (from 7.3 per cent a year earlier), which Avison Young described as the tightest suburban vacancy on record since the company started tracking it in 1997.

Avison Young said in the report, “Metro Vancouver’s office market reached a critical juncture in 2019 as demand from global technology firms took root and reshaped not only the scale and design of the next wave of downtown office towers, but also highlighted the range of economic, social and political impediments contributing to a region that increasingly appears to be becoming a victim of its own success.”

Downtown Vancouver is expecting more than five million square feet of new office space to be built by 2024, which is either under construction or in the development permit process – the largest office construction cycle in the city’s history. However, approximately 61 per cent of the downtown space that is currently under construction (3.74 million square feet) and expected to be completed by mid-2023 had already been preleased at year-end 2019.

Glenn Gardner, Avison Young principal, said, “[Office] tenants will need to be proactive when addressing their lease expiry in order to ensure they can continue to meet their space requirements. There will be relief coming to the market in both existing buildings and new developments; however, this relief will not arrive until 2021 at the earliest.”

Avison Young added, “The next two years will prove to be crucial to Metro Vancouver’s transformation into a truly world-class office market as severe supply constraints across the region temporarily limit deal velocity, hamper absorption and potentially impact expansion/relocation plans of both existing businesses and those considering establishing a presence in the market. These conditions also triggered the emergence of not one but two development cycles in the downtown core – a first for the city – in order to meet anticipated demand.”

To read the full report, including breakdowns and market forecasts in different neighbourhoods and suburban areas, click here

© Copyright 2020 Western Investor

B.C. stratas on edge after reports of soaring insurance premiums

Tuesday, February 11th, 2020

B.C. stratas on edge over looming hikes

Dan Fumano
The Province

Condos across B.C. could be hit by soaring insurance bills this year, a New Westminster strata council president is warning.

When residents of Anchor Pointe in New Westminster gathered for the strata’s annual meeting in December, they were stunned to learn their building’s insurance premiums were expected to increase by 40 per cent for 2020.

“It was a total shock to everybody,” said strata president Bruce Campbell.

Unfortunately for the 30-year-old tower’s residents, things were about to get worse.

The strata had budgeted for the 110-unit building’s insurance premium to increase by about 40 per cent for 2020 — to $95,000 for the year, up from about $70,000  — but when January rolled round, the strata council learned it would not be close to sufficient. Instead, Campbell said, the premium would be $259,000 this year — more than 3.5 times the cost last year.

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Campbell had expected strata fees for his two-bedroom unit would be around $480 a month, including building insurance with this year’s anticipated 40 per cent increase. But now, the monthly costs for his unit will need to rise by about $150, to $630.

The strata council is trying to figure out how to cover the massive gap, Campbell said, whether by dipping into the contingency reserve fund or through a one-time assessment to be paid by owners.

“As a strata council, we have to be the bearer of pretty bad news sometimes,” Campbell said.

Many Anchor Pointe residents, including Campbell and his wife, are on fixed incomes and will struggle to cover the additional costs. Campbell, a 70-year-old retired businessman, wants to enjoy retirement, he said, “but I might have to go back to work.”

It’s not clear how many of B.C.’s 30,000 strata corporations will face similarly skyrocketing insurance costs, but Campbell’s building is not alone. Last month, the Abbotsford News reported a new condo building there was facing a 780 per cent hike in its insurance premium, which would be covered with a one-time levy of $3,000 a unit, along with doubling the monthly strata free to $600.

“I’d describe it as a crisis,” Campbell said. “There’s no other way around it.”

Now, insurance industry associations are responding to reports of soaring condo costs and B.C.’s Finance Minister said Monday the provincial government is monitoring the situation.

Other condo markets, including Toronto and New York, have had increases, said Tony Gioventu, executive director of the Condominium Home Owners’ Association of B.C.. It’s a particularly worrying issue for Metro Vancouver, where about half of households live in strata-titled properties.

Gioventu said that as the insurance for more buildings come up for renewals at different points through the year, the price picture should become clearer.

But in the month of January alone, Gioventu’s organization heard from about 100 B.C. condo buildings either facing “massive” increases in insurance costs or, in some cases, unable to find a company willing to insure the building at all.

Stratas having trouble getting insurance should contact the Insurance Bureau of Canada, a national industry association, the B.C. Ministry of Finance said Monday.

That Bureau announced Monday it was launching a task force to review the issue across Canada, and will meet next month with affected groups in B.C.

These insurance increases are unlikely to hit owners of detached houses, said Rob de Pruis, the Bureau’s director of consumer and industry relations for Western Canada. He said many of the reports his group has received about big cost increases are in buildings with “claims history and maintenance issues.”

Different groups point to different factors for premium increases, including rising global losses from severe weather.

In an emailed statement Monday, B.C. Finance Minister Carole James said that while strata corporations across Canada and elsewhere are facing increased insurance bills, here in B.C., “higher real estate prices and construction costs have contributed to a surge in the cost of insurance coverage.”

“While specific product pricing is a matter for the insurance industry, we are working with the British Columbia Financial Service Authority to monitor the situation carefully and ensure we are doing everything we can to financially protect British Columbians,” said James.

The Insurance Brokers Association of B.C. issued a statement Friday urging the provincial government to make reforms to legislation, including adding a standard definition of a strata unit to the Strata Property Act.

These reforms could help “stabilize” B.C.’s condo insurance market, the agency’s news release said, but the organization “recognizes these changes won’t directly address the rising strata-building premiums and deductibles.”

“This is going to be a long time in fixing,” the B.C. group’s executive director, Chuck Byrne, said Monday. “There’s going to be a lost more angst over it before there’s good news.”

© 2020 Postmedia Network Inc.

Canada’s most walkable cities according to Redfin

Tuesday, February 11th, 2020

A new report shows Canada’s most walkable cities

Steve Randall
Canadian Real Estate Wealth

Urban living in an age where the environment is a key focus means amenities on your doorstep but some cities are doing it better than others.

A new report highlights Canada’s most walkable cities using data from Redfin company Walk Score.

Cities where daily errands do not require a car score 90 points and above, a score of 70 to 89 points means most errands can be accomplished on foot and a score of 50 to 69 indicates that some errands can be completed on foot.

None of Canada’s cities of 200K+ population achieve full walkability but Vancouver is the closest, with a Walk Score of 79.8.

“Over the past 10 years, Vancouver has placed a strong emphasis on development that supports walkability. Many of the new developments are focused on areas that are close to transit—specifically our monorail system,” said Redfin Vancouver market manager Brooks Findlay. “The city itself has also been very focused on building new walking and bike paths, allowing for a green commute and discouraging single-driver vehicles. Many young professionals in Vancouver don’t even consider owning a car. Developers have created mini villages in high-traffic areas, meaning you don’t have to travel more than five or six blocks to get anything you need.”

Toronto waterfront, underground Montreal is placed second in the national ranking with a score of 65.4 while Toronto has a score of 61.

“A lot of Toronto is connected underground, so when it gets cold in the winter, there are still ways to get around. Then there’s the boardwalk, which allows people to walk across much of the city right on the waterfront,” Redfin Toronto market manager Blair Anderson said. “One thing people don’t always realize about Toronto is that there are lots of nature walks and trails right in the city. If it was just a concrete jungle, people wouldn’t be so inclined to walk places, but since it’s so beautiful, walking is appealing. Plus, city traffic is less than desirable these days, so being able to get around on foot is very advantageous.”

Rank

City

Walk Score

1

Vancouver

79.8

2

Montréal

65.4

3

Toronto

61.0

4

Burnaby

60.1

5

Longueuil

54.4

 

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

Harry and Meghan have picked the right country report shows

Tuesday, February 11th, 2020

Canada takes top spot for most liveable cities

Steve Randall
Canadian Real Estate Wealth

Europeans looking to relocate outside their continent should move to Canada according to a new study of the world’s most liveable cities for the region’s expats.

For the fifth consecutive year, Canada has taken top spot in the latest report from global mobility experts, ECA International (ECA).

Canada’s clean air, free healthcare, low crime and political stability are all winning factors while being officially bilingual is also a plus for many French-speaking Europeans.

“Canadian cities have always provided a high quality of life for European expats, with consistently high scores putting Canadian cities above many European counterparts. Harry and Meghan follow in the footsteps of millions of European expats to Canadian cities, namely Toronto and Vancouver, which are relatively easy for European expatriates to adapt to. Choosing Canada to bring up their new family means they will experience lower crime levels, good public facilities, and better air quality,” comments Neil Ashman, Senior Location Ratings Analyst at ECA International.

Toronto is the top city The study ranks Toronto as the top city for European expats in Canada.

ECA says that despite some challenging weather conditions, the city’s infrastructure and business investment adds attractiveness.

“Since 2016, the Canadian government has committed $14.4 billion on modernising public transport, green and social infrastructure, trade and transportation, making it a consistently attractive city for European’s living abroad.”

Including their own continent, Copenhagen and Bern have scooped the joint top spot as the most liveable cities in the world for European expats.

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

Vancouver’s empty homes tax is working – city officials

Tuesday, February 11th, 2020

More empty homes returned to the rental market in Vancouver

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

Despite some initial resistance, Vancouver’s empty homes tax continues to perform as expected, mayor Kennedy Stewart said.

“The empty homes tax is working,” Stewart said late last week, as quoted by Global News. “Our second set of year-over-year data clearly shows we’re returning more empty homes to the rental market.”

As of February 7, the city  noted that 787 homes were declared unoccupied for 2019. This was a nearly 15% decline on a year-over-year basis and fully 30% lower than 2017’s figure of 1,131 vacant properties, which was the first year of effectivity for the tax.

Moreover, Vancouver’s total number of homes – empty or otherwise – went up by 1.6% annually, with the number of condo units increasing by 3%.

Observers have noted that policies aimed at compelling condo investors in the city to rent out their residences appear to be effective so far.

Additionally, data from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation indicated that over the past year alone, more than 11,000 condos entered the rental market, considerably outstripping the roughly 9,000 newly completed apartments during that period.

Downtown Vancouver was even more inflamed, with 3,000 condo units entering the rental market compared to the mere 300 new units built.

However, Vancouver mathematician and housing statistics analyst Jens von Bergmann emphasized that the need for a faster pace of development will remain vital for the foreseeable future.

“If demand increases faster than supply, you’re still behind. And we’re still in a pretty big hole, region-wide,” von Bergmann told The Globe and Mail.

Much of the city’s activity is being driven by strong population growth, along with a booming high-technology sector hungry for thousands of skilled professionals.

Copyright © 2020 Key Media

Landlords to return deposits faster under new BC rules

Monday, February 10th, 2020

New renters system means faster deposit returns

Steve Randall
REP

Renters in British Columbia should get their security deposits back faster thanks to a new regime.

Currently, if a landlord does not return a tenant’s uncontested security deposit within 15 days of the rental agreement ending, the renter has to apply for a dispute resolution with the Residential Tenancy Branch (RTB).

Under the new system, being introduced from next week (Feb. 18) renters making a successful application to the RTB will receive an order that can be served to their landlord or enforced through the small claims court.

It is a similar system as landlords can use to recover unpaid rents or utilities and LandlordBC says it will improve things for both renters and landlords.

“The use of a direct request for the return of security deposits is a constructive step to improve the efficiency of the process for both tenants and landlords,” said David Hutniak, chief executive officer, LandlordBC. “Landlords claiming to retain part or all of the deposits to recoup the cost of damages to their rental suites will continue to have access to a participatory hearing, which ensures that they will be able to state their case to an arbitrator. Overall, we expect this new process to work well.”

Without the wait for an RTB hearing it is hoped that the new regime will expediate the return of deposits.

“Renters should not have to go through a time-consuming process to have their deposits returned to them,” said Selina Robinson, Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing. “We are taking action to make the residential tenancy system work better for landlords and tenants, and this is another step in making sure everyone is treated fairly.”

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

Canada created 34,500 jobs in January and they were all full time

Monday, February 10th, 2020

Canada’s labour force grew for second month in a row

Steve Randall
REP

Canada’s labour force grew in January with 34,500 jobs added to the economy, the second consecutive months of gains.

The figures from Statistics Canada show that all of the gains were full-time jobs and that they were spread across demographics. Most provinces saw little change while Quebec, Manitoba, and New Brunswick posted gains and BC saw a decrease.

The strong stats mean it is less likely that the Bank of Canada will be prompted to cut interest rates as an economic stimulus.

The additional employment in January contributed to gains totalling 268,000 (+1.4%) since January 2019.

The construction sector posted a 16,000 gain in jobs, just behind manufacturing (21,000) and ahead of agriculture (12,000). On an annual basis, construction and agriculture led the gains.

There was also an increase for the finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing industry, one of the leading components of the services-producing sector which saw little change overall. On an annual basis, the finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing industry added 69,400 jobs, a 5.9% increase.

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

Toronto market is heating up like early 2016

Monday, February 10th, 2020

RBC Economics says market is showing signs of overheating

Steve Randall
REP

The housing market in Toronto is starting to look a lot like it did in early 2016 warns a new report.

RBC Economics says that the market is showing signs of overheating with lower inventories, rising prices, and a sales-to-listings ratio of 0.7 which suggests sharper price gains in the near term.

In a housing market commentary, senior economist Robert Hogue says that the Toronto housing market could see its benchmark price rise by double-digits in the months ahead, following an annual pace of 8.7% in January and 7.3% in December. That assumes the tight market remains.

Spiralling house prices and potential policy intervention are the last things the market needs Hogue says.

Elsewhere, Vancouver is favourable to sellers and tighter demand-supply conditions is set to support this in the coming months. Hogue says that the benchmark price is set to move to growth on a year-over-year basis.

Prices are also set to maintain their recent upward trajectory in Ottawa and Montreal, while easing inventories should see prices stabilize in Calgary and Edmonton.

Copyright © 2020 Key Media Pty Ltd

New York is banning agent fees for rentals

Friday, February 7th, 2020

Brokers working for landlords can’t charge fees

Steve Randall
Mortgage Broker News

The cost of renting an apartment in New York can be eyewatering, not least because of the fees.

But a new guidance issued by the New York Department of State this week has seen renters jump for joy while real estate agents and brokers consider the future of their businesses.

The DOS legal guidance says that brokers working for landlords may not charge a fee to tenants; the fees can be as high as 15% of annual rent and are paid by tenants along with a security deposit before they can move in.

The guidance says that brokers’ fees should only be charged to the property owners they represent. Those brokers that are hired by tenants to find them a home will still be able to charge their clients.

The change is concerning for many brokers and agents who fear their business may not remain viable without the fees they currently charge.

“It’s a major reversal in fortune,” Maurice Grey, who runs the small family business Esra Realty, told the New York Times. “I’m a third-generation real estate broker. But ask me if my kids will be the fourth generation? I don’t think so.”

The real estate brokerage industry is set to fight the DOS stance, especially as they have already been hit with rent regulations in recent months which have dampened investors’ interest in acquiring rental buildings.

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